City Crisis: 240,000 Residents

Total Infected Population (2% Prevalence): 4800 | Budget: $400,000

Resource Allocation

Number of Technicians ($250/day ea.)

More techs = Faster results, but higher daily cost.

PCR Units ($50 ea.)

Cap: 250 tests / tech / day

LAMP Units ($10 ea.)

Cap: 500 tests / tech / day

Rapid Antigen Units ($5 ea.)

Cap: 1000 tests / tech / day

Total Cost

Days to Complete

Proportion of Infected Identified

Goal: >70% for containment

True Positives

False Positives

Missed Cases (Silent Spreaders)

True Positive: A case that is infected and tested positive
False Positive: A case that is not infected and tested positive
Missed Case: A case that is infected and tested negative
Proportion of Infected Identified: The percentage of infected cases that are identified

PCR: Polymerase Chain Reaction, 95% sensitivity, 1% false positive rate
LAMP: Loop-Mediated Isothermal Amplification, 85% sensitivity, 5% false positive rate
RAT: Rapid Antigen Test, 70% sensitivity, 3% false positive rate